MemeCore (M) Hits New ATH: Is the Rally Sustainable?
Key Takeaways
- MemeCore briefly touched $2.55 before retracing, driven by spot market activity.
- Futures traders are showing bearish sentiment with negative funding rates, creating a mixed outlook.
MemeCore [M] achieved a 12.2% rally, reaching a new all-time high of $2.55 before settling slightly lower at $2.53. This surge pushed MemeCore's market capitalization to $2.6 billion, reflecting a significant inflow of capital.
Retail Buyers Drive Spot Market Action
The recent price increase appears to be primarily driven by retail buyers entering the spot market. Data from Coinalyze indicates strong buying pressure, with 82.45k in Buy Volume compared to 65.11k in Sell Volume. This resulted in a positive Buy Sell Delta of 17.3k, signaling aggressive spot accumulation.
Source: Coinalyze
Exchange activity supports this trend. CoinGlass data reveals a shift in Spot Netflow from positive to negative. The Netflow dropped to -82k from +16k, suggesting increased outflows and accumulation off-exchange.
Source: CoinGlass
Historically, buyer-dominated spot markets have often preceded price rallies.
Futures Market Signals Caution
Despite the bullish activity in the spot market, the futures market is exhibiting a more cautious outlook.
Source: CoinGlass
MemeCore recorded $109.49 million in inflows versus $106.33 million in outflows, resulting in a Futures Netflow of $3.16 million. This represents a 69% decrease over the past 24 hours.
Funding rates have largely remained negative, suggesting a bearish sentiment. Coinalyze data shows MemeCore’s Funding Rate at -0.055% and Predicted Funding Rate at -0.0134%. Rates have been negative for two consecutive days, with only one positive flip in the last week.
Source: Coinalyze
Negative funding rates generally indicate that a majority of futures market participants are bearish and holding short positions.
Source: Coinalyze
The Long/Short Ratio has fallen to 0.57, with 63.5% shorts and 36.5% longs, reflecting strong bearish sentiment despite the spot market rally.
Will the Bullish Momentum Hold?
Analysis suggests that MemeCore's rally is driven by speculative spot demand, while futures traders are betting against it, potentially creating conditions for a short squeeze.
TradingView data indicates a fragile uptrend. The Stochastic RSI remains below its signal at 60, and the Relative Vigor Index (RVGI) sits at 0.34, below its signal line.
Source: TradingView
These indicators residing in a bearish zone suggest a weak trend and a potential downside reversal. If current market conditions persist, MemeCore could face a correction towards $2.1.
A bullish crossover on the RVGI and Stochastic RSI would be needed to sustain the uptrend and potentially pave the way for another all-time high.