Bitcoin to $190K? Tiger Research Predicts Q3 2025 Surge
Tiger Research: Bitcoin Poised for Potential $190,000 High
Tiger Research projects Bitcoin prices could reach $190,000 in Q3 2025, marking a potential 67% increase. Their valuation highlights the growing influence of institutional investors, unprecedented global liquidity, and the introduction of Bitcoin options within US 401(k) retirement plans.
However, the report also cautions investors, noting that on-chain indicators suggest the possibility of short-term market corrections.
Key Catalysts Driving the Bullish Bitcoin Outlook
According to Tiger Research's latest valuation report, three primary factors support the $190,000 price target:
- Expanding Institutional Capital: The increasing involvement of institutions signals a structural shift in the Bitcoin market.
- Record Global Liquidity: High levels of liquidity across major economies provide a favorable environment for Bitcoin.
- US 401(k) Integration: Allowing Bitcoin investments in 401(k) accounts could unlock substantial long-term demand.
Tiger Research emphasizes the rising dominance of institutional buying power over retail activity, stating, "This dynamic is supported by institutional buying power outstripping retail buying."
The potential inclusion of Bitcoin in 401(k) plans is viewed as a particularly significant development, offering access to a vast pool of retirement funds.
Tiger Research utilizes the Time Value of Money (TVM) model, along with on-chain metrics and macroeconomic analysis, to derive its valuation. The report indicates a fair value of $190,000 by Q3 2025 if current liquidity and adoption trends persist.
Risk Factors and Potential Market Corrections
Despite the optimistic forecast, Tiger Research also identifies risks of short-term pullbacks. Bitcoin’s price has shown signs of heading toward the $100,000–$107,000 support zone amid recent liquidations.
Indicators like the MVRV-Z Score are nearing overbought levels, suggesting a potential correction before further price appreciation.
Bitcoin's performance remains interconnected with global macroeconomic factors. Interest rate decisions, geopolitical events, and shifts in liquidity can all impact its price trajectory.
While the Q3 2025 forecast from Tiger Research presents a compelling case for Bitcoin reaching $190,000, investors should exercise caution and manage risks amidst market volatility. Realizing this target hinges on the continued flow of institutional capital, global liquidity conditions, and evolving macroeconomic variables.
For developers building within the Bitcoin ecosystem, understanding these market dynamics is crucial. Codeum provides resources and tools for ensuring the security and stability of blockchain applications, including smart contract audits and KYC/AML solutions that can help projects navigate regulatory requirements and protect against fraud.